December 2, 2024
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EFI at AGU 2024
November 26, 2024
Below is the list of poster and oral presentations for EFI’s hosted session at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2024 Conference in Washington, D.C., as well as other ecological forecasting-related talks, and talks by EFI community members that may be of interest. All times are listed in US Eastern Time.
EFI has name badges! EFI community members can find Mike Dietze at the Conference, during the EFI-hosted sessions, or at the Social to get a badge.
Tuesday EFI Social – Meet up with others in the EFI community on Tuesday evening, December 10 from 6:30-8:00 pm at The Delegate front bar in the Courtyard hotel just across the street from the convention center.
EFI’s Tuesday Poster and Oral Sessions – EFI’s oral and poster sessions on “Model-Data Integration and Novel Paradigms in Ecosystem Forecasting” will be held on Tuesday, December 10. The Poster Session is from 8:30am-12:20pm in Poster Hall B-C (Convention Center). The Oral session is from 14:10-15:40pm in 149A-B (Convention Center). We’re excited to have a great set of speakers that span cyberinfrastructure, decision making, and forecasts for coastal and terrestrial ecosystems and organisms. Come check out the following talks!
Tuesday Poster Session (8:30-12:20, Poster Hall B-C)
- Tumaini Mutungi Kamulali (University of Arizona) – Simulating Seasonal Circulation and Projected Climate Effects from 2020 to 2100 on Lake Tanganyika’s Ecosystem with the 3D ROMS Model
- Matthew Manberg (Boston University) – Empirical Dynamic Modeling of Harmful Algae Blooms
- Dexter Howard (Virginia Tech) – High Forecast Skill of Dissolved Organic Matter Concentration in Drinking Water Reservoirs
- John M Zobitz (Augsburg University) – Uncertainty quantification for a daily soil carbon flux forecast across the continental United States
- Chu-Chun Chang (Woodwell Climate Research Center) – Advanced Arctic Terrestrial Data Assimilation: Integrating DVM-DOS-TEM with NCAR DART for Enhanced Ecological Modeling
- Zhuolin Du (Auburn University) – Evaluating Changes in Avian Ecosystem Services over Time Across North America
- Zhenpeng Zuo (Boston University) – Modeling Prospect and Uncertainty in Potential Forest Canopy Heights: Implications for Eastern US Restoration
- Katherine Hayes (Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies) – Herbivore Impacts on Postfire Boreal Forest Trajectories May Not Scale to Impact Landscape Carbon Balance
- Bharat Sharma (Oak Ridge National Laboratory) – Simulating CO2 Responses in Even-Aged Secondary Forests at Duke and Oak Ridge FACE Experiments with ELM-FATES-CNP
- Dan Gianotti (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) – Mechanisms Stabilizing Terrestrial Evaporation and Carbon Uptake
- DongHun Lee – Predicting Future Vegetation Occurrence Using Paleo-Climate Data and Machine Learning
- Khagendra Joshi (Central Department of Hydrology and Meteorology) – Forecasting climate vulnerability of major temperate tree species utilizing ensemble species distribution model
- Rezaul Bari Ishan (East Tennessee State University) – Forecasting Habitat Suitability in the United States for Eastern Gray Squirrel (Sciurus carolinensis) in 2050 Using MaxEnt Approach
- Zhixin Zhang (South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Science) – Incorporating Multiple Sources of Knowledge When Assessing Species Vulnerability to Climate Change
Tuesday Oral Session (14:10-15:40, 149 A-B (Convention Center))
- 14:10 – Tracy Fanara (Integrated Ocean Observing System) – “Ecoforecasting using the community-based Unified Forecast System framework”
- 14:20 – Hassan Moustahfid (NOAA) – “Community-developed cyberinfrastructure for efficient ecological forecasting”
- 14:30 – Melissa Kenney (University of Minnesota Twin Cities) – “Decision Support Research Recommendations to Improve Ecological Forecast Understandability and Service Equity”
- 14:40 – Bilgecan Sen (University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Appalachian Laboratory) – “Quantifying the short- and long-term predictability of Adélie penguin populations”
- 14:50 – Dongchen Zhang (Boston University) – “Mapping the North American Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: a Process-based Reanalysis Using State Data Assimilation (SDA)”
- 15:00 – Kyla Dahlin (Michigan State University) – “Forest structure in the carbon cycle: How can we estimate forest structure before spaceborne lidar?”
- 15:10 – Jianing Fang (Columbia University) – “Moving Beyond Plant Functional Types: Differentiable Hybrid-ML Carbon Model Retrieves Environmental Controls of Ecological Traits”
- 15:20 – Yanlan Liu (The Ohio State University) – “Diagnosing the impact of spatial scale on ecosystem-equivalent traits of soil-plant hydraulics using model-data integration”
- 15: 30 – Natasha MacBean (University of Western Ontario) – “Playing the Dryland Model Detective: Exploring the Current Status of Dryland Contributions to Global Carbon Cycling “
Other Forecasting Presentations & Presentations by the EFI Community
If you are presenting an ecological forecasting-related talk or poster that you don’t see on the list, email EFI so we can get it added!
Monday
- 8:30-12:20, Trent Ford (University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Working Toward a More Drought-Resilient Urban Forest Ecosystem Through Accurate and Useable Drought Monitoring, Forecasting, and Communication
- 8:30-12:20, Bryce Mihalevich (Bureau of Reclamation Salt Lake City), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Predicting Seasonal Reservoir Release Temperatures to Inform Ecological Flows: A Retrospective Forecasting Exercise to Characterize Uncertainty and Data Limitations
- 8:30-12:20, David Durden (NEON), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Maximizing ecological data utility for addressing real-world applications
- 10:35-10:50, Mike Dietze (Boston University), 150A (Convention Center) – Projecting Soil Carbon Stocks and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes across California’s Croplands
- 13:14-17:30, Kari St. Laurent (NOAA), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – The Path Towards Operations: Harmful Algal Bloom Forecasting at NOAA’s National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science
Tuesday
- 8:30-12:20, Katya Jay (University of Colorado, Boulder), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Quantifying Climate-Driven Woody Encroachment Rates across Alpine Tundra Ecosystems
- 8:30-12:20, Nivedita Priyadarshini Kamaraj (Virginia Tech), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Forecasting Future Water Quality in the Chesapeake Bay Using Remote Sensing and Artificial Intelligence
Thursday
- 8:30-12:20, Moonil Kim (Pyeongtaek University), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Analysis of Species Composition and Distribution Changes in South Korean Forests Using the Individual Tree Data
- 8:30-12:20, Kelli Johnson (Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Forecasting and Observing the Open-to-Coastal Ocean for Copernicus Users (FOCCUS): Towards Advancing Streamlined Coastal Monitoring and Forecasting in Europe
- 8:30-12:20, Mark Rodwell (European Centre for Medium‑Range Weather Forecast), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Evaluating data-driven global ensemble forecasts
- 10:40-10:50, Samantha Weintraub-Leff (NEON), Liberty I-K (Marriott Marquis) – Preparing Ecological Data for Artificial Intelligence (AI) Enhanced Research
- 11:00-11:10, Stan Benjamin (Univerity of Colorado), Liberty L (Marriott Marquis) – A Regionally Determined Climate-Informed West Nile Virus Forecast
- 11:30-11:40, Yoonnoh Lee (Korea University), Liberty L (Marriott Marquis) – Prediction of Mosquito Population Distribution Using Artificial Intelligence
- 15:00-15:10, Inacio Bueno (University of Florida), Archives (Marriott Marquis) – RapidFEM4D: A web-based mapping platform for assessing the impacts and near-term recovery of Hurricane Ian on forest ecosystems in Florida
- 17:10-17:20, Abigail Lewis (Smithsonian Environmental Research Center), 151A (Convention Center) – Patterns and drivers of bottom-water greenhouse gas concentrations across 522 lakes worldwide
Friday
- 8:30-12:20, Cassie Buhler (University of Colorado, Boulder ESIIL), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Exploring Innovation in Biodiversity Conservation Decision-Making Through Open Science and Generative AI
- 8:30-12:20, Alyssa Willson (University of Notre Dame), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Both Environment and Feedbacks are Important Drivers of Macroscale Forest, Savanna, and Prairie Biome Distributions in the Upper Midwest, USA
- 8:30-12:20, Cazimir Kowalski (University of Notre Dame), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Modeling Sharp Vegetation Boundaries from Continuous Environmental Space, Species Covariance, and Spatial Processes
- 8:30-12:20, Jason McLachlan (University of Notre Dame), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – 2000 years of unstable forest-savanna boundaries in the Midwestern US
- 9:27-9:37, Quinn Thomas (Virginia Tech), 145B (Convention Center), The Forecasting Lake And Reservoir Ecosystems (FLARE) system: lessons learned from forecasting water quality across diverse applications
- 13:40-17:30, Max Beal (University of Wisconsin, Madison), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Development of a seasonal to sub-seasonal cyanobacteria biomass forecast system for Lake Mendota, WI
- 13:40-17:30, Jimin Jung (Myongji College), Hall B-C (Poster Hall) – Development of a Near-Real-Time High-Resolution Leaf Area Index Derivation Technique for Air Quality Forecasting
- 14:20-14:35, Zhe Zhu (University of Connecticut), Salon H (Convention Center), Green to Gone: A Time Series Tale of Caribbean Primary Forest Decline
EFI at AGU 2023
December 1, 2023
Below is the list of poster and oral presentations for EFI’s hosted session at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2022 Conference in Chicago, as well as other ecological forecasting-related talks that may be of interest to the community. All times are listed in US Pacific Time.
EFI has name badges! EFI community members can find Mike Dietze at the Conference, during the EFI-hosted sessions, or at the Social to get a badge.
Tuesday EFI Social – Anyone who is available to meet up on December 12, Tuesday evening, we’ll have a group getting together from 7:00-9:00pm at 1015 Howard St, which is just an 11-minute walk from the Moscone Center.
Tuesday Poster and Oral Sessions – EFI’s oral and poster sessions on “Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System” will be held on Tuesday, December 12. The Poster Session is from 8:30am-12:50pm in Poster Hall A-C – South (Exhibition Level, South, MC). The Oral session is from 14:10-15:40pm in 3008 – West (Level 3, West, MC). We’re excited to have a great set of speakers that really span the full gradient from terrestrial to freshwater to marine. Come check out the following talks!
Tuesday Poster Session (9:00-12:30, Poster Hall A-C- South)
- Tierney Cantwell (Gettysburg College) – Sudden Oak Death and its Forecasted Threat to California Oaks using Maximum Entropy Modeling
- Joshua Ploshay (California State University Monterey Bay) – Spatiotemporal Patterns of Carbon (C) Cycle Variability Across North America: A Machine Learning Downscaling of a Process-based C Reanalysis Product
- Rob Kooper (University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign) – Unlocking the Power of ED2 Model on HPC Clusters: A Singularity Container Approach
- Qianyu Li (Brookhaven National Laboratory) – Assimilation of Satellite Observations Improves Seasonal Model Forecast of Leaf Area Index Over CONUS NEON Sites
- Matthew Petrie (University of Nevada Las Vegas) – Elucidating aridification pathways across the ecosystems of a semiarid elevational gradient
- Priyanka Singh (University of Petroleum and Energy Studies) – Machine Learning to Assess Large-scale Mining Impacts on Biodiversity Health
- Preethi Balaji (NASA DEVELOP) – Forecasting the Ecological Impacts of Targeted Cattle Grazing as a Management Tool to Improve Wetland Habitat in Southeastern Idaho
- Stephen E MacAvoy (American University) – Metabolic Plasticity, Measured by Stable Isotope Turnover, as a Proxy for Resilience to Warming Temperatures in the Seep Amphipod Gammarus minus and Isopod Caecidotea kenki
- Jiahao Zhang (Tsinghua University) – The origin of Risk of Golden Mussel (Limnoperna fortunei) Invasion
- Mark B Hausner (Desert Research Institute Reno) – Historical and Projected Drivers of Population Dynamics of the Endangered Devils Hole Pupfish (Cyprinodon diaboils)
Tuesday Oral Session (14:10-15:40, 3008 – West (Level 3, West, MC)
- 14:10 – Gerbrand Koren (Utrecht University) – Forecasting terrestrial carbon exchange over North America from sub-daily to multi-annual time scales
- 14:20 – Malcolm Itter (University of Massachusetts Amherst) – Making More With Continuous Forest Inventory Data: Toward a Scalable, Dynamical Model of Forest Change
- 14:30 – Alyssa Willson (University of Notre Dame) – Biotic interactions moderate the climate-vegetation relationship over the last 2,000 years of the pre-Industrial Holocene in the Upper Midwest, U.S.
- 14:40 – Morteza Karimzadeh (University of Colorado Boulder) – Forecasting Post-Fire Vegetation Recovery Using Deep Learning
- 14:50 – Dongchen Zhang (Boston University) – Terrestrial Carbon Pool Reanalysis Using State Data Assimilation Over CONUS NEON Sites
- 15:00 – Freya Olsson (Virginia Tech) – Power of multiple models in lake forecasting
- 15:10 – Dante Horemans (Virginia Institute of Marine Science, William & Mary) – Real-time Forecasts of Harmful Algal Blooms using Empirical Habitat Suitability Models
- 15:20 – Joshua Grail (ESRI) – Predicting Snow Crab Habitat Across Climate Scenarios Using Maximum Entropy Modelling
- 15:30 – Discussion
Other Forecasting Presentations
If you are presenting an ecological forecasting-related talk or poster that you don’t see on the list, reach out so we can get it added!
- Mon: 9:52-10:00, Anne Heggli, 2010 – West (Level 2, West, MC) – The Use of Hourly SNOTEL Data to Produce Snowpack Runoff Decision Support for Midwinter Rain-on-Snow
- Mon: 10:22-10:32, Isabella Kazen, 2007 – West (Level 2, West, MC) – Characterizing Parameter Uncertainty in Ecological Forecasts across Different Plant Functional Types
- Mon: 10:30-10:40, Michael Dietze, 2006 – West (Level 2, West, MC) – Landscape-scale iterative monitoring and forecasting of terrestrial carbon pools and fluxes: a Harvard Forest testbed
- Mon: 12:40-12:50, Ana M Tarano, 3009 – West (Level 3, West, MC) – Evaluating Global Benthic Habitat Maps Derived from Machine Learning: NASA’s Neural Multimodal Observation and Training Network
- Wed: 8:30-12:50, Yi Hong, Poster Hall A-C – South (Exhibition Level, South, MC) – Challenges and Opportunities for the Next Generation Water Resources Modeling Over the Laurentian Great Lakes Region
- Wed: 14:10-18:30, Xin Huang, Poster Hall A-C – South (Exhibition Level, South, MC) – Iterative forcing correction improves forecasts of carbon pool dynamics more than fluxes
- Wed: 14:10-18:30, Russell Limber, Poster Hall A-C – South (Exhibition Level, South, MC) – Forecasting River Ice Breakup in Alaska USA Using a Long Short Term Memory Model
- Thurs: 14:10-18:30, Enoch Bessah, Poster Hall A-C – South – Verification of Indigenous Weather and Seasonal Climate Forecast skills for Climate Change Adaptation in the Pra River Basin of Ghana
- Thurs: 15:50-16:15, Patrick J Clemins, 160 – South (Upper Mezzanine, South, MC) – Northeast Evaluation Testbeds for Hydrologic Impacts Forecasting
- Fri: 14:10-18:30, Pierre C Guillevic, Poster Hall A-C – South – Evaluation of Planet’s Biomass Proxy – a Combination of Optical and SAR Earth Observations – to Monitor Crop Conditions and Forecast Yield
EFI at AGU 2022
Date: December 4, 2012
Below is the list of poster and oral presentations for EFI’s hosted session at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2022 Conference in Chicago, as well as other ecological forecasting-related talks that may be of interest to the community. All times are listed in US Central Time.
Thursday EFI Social – Anyone who is available to meet up on December 15, Thursday evening, we’ll have a group getting together at Kroll’s South Loop starting around 6:30 – 8:30pm. It’s an 18-minute walk from the Convention Center. Find directions here.
Friday Poster and Oral Sessions – EFI’s oral and poster sessions on “Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System” will be held on Friday, December 16, 2012. The in-person Poster Session is from 9am-12:30pm in Poster Hall A (South, Level 3). The Online Poster Session is from 1:45-2:45pm. The Oral session is from 4:45-6:15pm in S501bcd (South, Level 5). We’re excited to have a great set of speakers that really span the full gradient from terrestrial to freshwater to marine. Come check out the following talks!
Friday EFI In-Person Poster Session (9:00-12:30, Poster Hall A)
- David Fastovich (Syracuse University) – B52E-0873 Detecting legacies of millennial scale climate oscillations on modern biodiversity: lessons from a proxy-model comparison
- Woojin Jeon (Jeonbuk University) – B52E-0874 ENSO prediction modulated by interactive phytoplankton feedback
- Adrian V Rocha (University of Notre Dame) – B52E-0875 Identifying challenges to increase collaboration between field ecologists and modelers
- Qianyu Li (Brookhaven National Laboratory) – B52E-0876 Soil carbon assimilation through PEcAn State Data Assimilation framework
- Michael Dietze (Boston University) – B25E-0877 Partitioning model-data uncertainties in a terrestrial carbon cycle reanalysis across NEON sites.
- Joshua Bowers (University of Wisconsin Oshkosh) – B52E-0878 Validation of the PEcAn Terrestrial Ecosystem Forecast Using NASA SMAP Satellite Soil Moisture Observations
- Yingjie Hu (University of Buffalo) – B52E-0879 Forecasting vegetation dynamics in an open ecosystem by integrating deep learning and environmental variables
- Buyun Jeong (Seoul National University) – B52E-0880 Incorporation of Fe oxides as an Additional Cd Partitioning Phase in the Presence of Humic Acid for Development of Sediment Toxicity Prediction Model in Oxic Conditions
Friday EFI Online Poster Session (1:45-2:45pm, Online)
- Heng Huang (Texas A&M University) – B54C-01 Projecting transitions from positive to negative net ecosystem productivity merging earth system models with global observation databases
Friday EFI Oral Session (4:45-6:15pm, S501bcd – South, Level 5)
- 4:45 Nicole Lovenduski (University of Colorado) – Near-term predictions of multiple marine stressors
- 4:55 Mark Rowe (NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory) – Approaches to Development and Assessment of Ecological Forecasts, With Recent Examples From Lake Erie (Invited)
- 5:05 Katherine Hudson Gallagher (Stony Brook University) – Pygoscelis Penguin Colony Locations and Diet Compositions along the West Antarctic Peninsula could be Driven by High Retention and Accumulation of Simulated Krill
- 5:15 Cory Merow (University of Connecticut) – BioFI – The Biodiversity Forecasting Initiative to Understand Population, Community, and Ecosystem Function Under Climate Change
- 5:25 Hannah O’Grady (Mount Holyoke College) – Using Space-for-Time to Understand the Empirical Dynamics of Tropical Rainforests
- 5:35 Chris Wilson (University of Florida) – Forecasting pasture productivity and ecosystem services at scale: insights and challenges combining cross-scale datasets with a canopy process model using a hierarchical Bayesian approach
- 5:45 Cancelled
- 5:55 Kelly Heilman (University of Arizona) – Ecological forecasting of ponderosa pine forest biomass in the Interior West US
- 18:05 – Discussion
Other Forecasting Presentations –
If you are presenting an ecological forecasting-related talk or poster that you don’t see on the list, reach out so we can get it added!
- Mon 9:00-9:10: Katherine Skalak, E270 – Integrated Water Prediction at Regional and National Scales
- Mon 11:10-11:20: Mengqiu Wang, S402a – Improving Sargassum Transport Modeling in the Tropical Atlantic with Continuous Satellite Observations (Invited)
- Mon 11:40-11:50: Anastasia Tarasenko, S402a – Sargassum detection and forecast operational system at Meteo-France
- Mon 11:50-12:00: Robert Marsh, S402a – Monitoring, Understanding and Forecasting Sargassum across the Tropical Atlantic: the SARTRAC Experience
- Mon 12:00-12:10: Donald Johnson, S402a – Toward Seasonal Forecasting of Sargassum Influx Events in the Tropical Atlantic
- Mon 12:10-12:20: Ludivine Goujon, S402a – Study of the littoral dynamics of sargassum in Martinique and the risks of stranding
- Mon 2:45-2:55: Michael Dietze, B15C-01 – Integrating networked observations and remote sensing into a CONUS-scale carbon cycle reanalysis and forecasting system (Invited)
- Mon 2:45-6:15: Saiful Haque Rahat, Poster Hall-A – Machine Learning for River Water Quality Prediction and Detecting Uncertainties with Changing Climate
- Tues 9:10-9:20: Ethan Romero-Severson, E258 – The Climate Integrated Model of Mosquito-Borne Infectious Disease: a large-scale, mechanistic approach to science and global forecasting under climate change
- Tues 2:45-6:15: Shashika Himandi, Poster Hall-A, South Level 3 – Combining Air Borne LiDAR and Forest Inventory Analysis Data (FIA) to Develop a Forest Carbon Model Using Machine Learning Techniques
- Wed 2:45-6:15: Poster Hall-A, South Level 3 – Advances in Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Uncertainty Quantification IV Poster [Poster Session]
- Wed 5:00-5:10: Giangiacomo Navarra, S105d – Using Deep Learning to Forecast Marine Fishery indicators in the North Pacific
- Thurs 9-12:30: Aidan Schneider, Poster Hall-A, South Level 3 – Forecasting West Nile Virus Infections: A Machine-Learning Approach to Epidemiological Monitoring
- Fri 9:00-12:30: Jackie Dean, Poster Hall-A, South Level 3 – Forecasting Net Forest Biomass Changes for Land Management in Interior Alaska
EFI at AGU 2019
Date: December 6, 2019
EFI’s oral and poster sessions on “Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System” have been scheduled for Wednesday, December 11, 2019 from 4-6pm in Moscone 3001 (oral session) and on Wednesday morning from 8am-12:20pm(posters). We’re excited to have a great set of speakers that really span the full gradient from terrestrial to freshwater to marine. Come check out the following talks!
Wednesday EFI Oral Session (4-6pm, Moscone 3001)
16:00 Nicole Lovenduski – High predictability of terrestrial carbon fluxes from an initialized decadal prediction system
16:15 Ben Bond-Lamberty – Linking field, model, and remote sensing methods to understand when tree mortality breaks the forest carbon cycle
16:30 Zoey Werbin – Forecasting the Soil Microbiome
16:45 Brian Enquist – Forecasting future global biodiversity: Predicting current and future global plant distributions, community structure, and ecosystem function
17:00 Heather Welch – Managing the ocean in real-time: Ecological forecasts for dynamic management
17:15 Clarissa Anderson – Bringing new life to harmful algal bloom prediction after crossing the valley of death
17:30 Ryan McClure – Successful real-time prediction of methane ebullition rates in a eutrophic reservoir using temperature via iterative near-term forecasts
17:45 Carl Boettiger – Theoretical Limits to Forecasting in Ecological Systems (And What to Do About It)
Wednesday EFI Poster Session (8am-12:20pm, Moscone South Poster Hall)
Christopher Trisos – B31J-2509 The Projected Timing of Abrupt Ecological Disruption from Climate Change
Gleyce K. D. Araujo Figueiredo – B31J-2510 Spatial and temporal relationship between aboveground biomass and the enhanced vegetation index for a mixed pasture in a Brazilian integrated crop livestock system
Rafael Vasconcelos Valadares B31J-2511 Modeling Brazilian Integrated Crop-Livestock Systems
Zhao Qian – B31J-2512 An optimal projection of the changes in global leaf area index in the 21st century
Takeshi Ise – B31J-2513 Causal relationships in mesoscale teleconnections between land and sea: a study with satellite data
Hisashi Sato – B31J-2514 Reconstructing and predicting global potential natural vegetation with a deep neural network model
Masanori Onishi – B31J-2515 The combination of UAVs and deep neural networks has a potential as a new framework of vegetation monitoring
Yurika Oba – B31J-2516 VARENN: Graphical representation of spatiotemporal data and application to climate studies
Stephan Pietsch – B31J-2517 A Fast and Easy to use Method to Forecast the Risks of Loss of Ecosystem Stability: The Epsilon Section of Correlation Sums
Jake F Weltzin – B31J-2518 Developing capacity for applied ecological forecasting across the federal research and natural resource management community
Theresa M Crimmins – B31J-2519 What have we learned from two seasons of forecasting phenology? The USA National Phenology Network’s experience operationalizing Pheno Forecasts
Tim Sheehan – B31J-2520 Sharp Turn Ahead: Modeling the Risk of Sudden Forest Change in the Western Conterminous United States
Margaret Evans – B31J-2521 Continental-scale Projection of Future Douglas-fir Growth from Tree Rings: Testing the Limits of Space-for-Time Substitution
Ann Raiho – B31J-2522 Improving forecasting of biome shifts with data assimilation of paleoecological data
Quinn Thomas – B31J-2523 Near-term iterative forecasting of water quality in a reservoir reveals relative forecastability of physical, chemical, and biological dynamics
Alexey N Shiklomanov – B31J-2524 Structural and parameter uncertainty in centennial-scale simulations of community succession in Upper Midwest temperate forests
Peter Kalmus – B31J-2525 Identifying coral refugia from observationally weighted climate model ensembles
Jessica L O’Connell – B31J-2526 Spatiotemporal variation in site-wide Spartina alterniflora belowground biomass may provide an early warning of tidal marsh vulnerability to sea level rise
Rafael J. P. Schmitt – B31J-2527 Assessing existing and future dam impacts on the connectivity of freshwater fish ranges worldwide
Teng Keng Vang – B31J-2528 Site characteristics of beaver dams in southwest Ohio
Other Forecasting Presentations
Mon 13:40-15:40, Moscone South e-Lightning Theater: Alexandria Hounshell, ED13B-07 Macrosystems EDDIE: Using hands-on teaching modules to build computational literacy and water resources concepts in undergraduate curricula (Alex’s presentation will be at ~2pm)
Mon 13:40-18:00, Poster Hall: Hamze Dokoohaki B13F-2442 – A model–data fusion approach to estimating terrestrial carbon budgets across the contiguous U.S
Mon 14:25, Moscone 3005: Michael Dietze B13A-04 – Near real-time forecasting of terrestrial carbon and water pools and fluxes
Mon 17:40, Moscone 3003: Michael Dietze B14B-11 Near real-time forecasting in the biogeosciences: toward a more predictive and societally-relevant science
Tues 13:40-18:00, Poster Hall: Erin Conlisk B23F-2598 – Forecasting Wetland Habitat to Support Multi-Species Management Decisions in the Central Valley of California
Wed 08:00-12:20, Poster Hall: B31H Building Resilient Agricultural Systems Supported by Near-Term Climate and Yield Forecasts II [Poster Session]
Wed 13:55, Moscone 3005: Inez Fung B33A-02 – Towards verifying national CO2 emissions
Thurs 09:15, Moscone 3012: John Reager B41A-06 – Hydrological predictors of fire danger: using satellite observations for monthly to seasonal forecasting
Fri 10:20-12:20, Moscone 3007: B52A Building Resilient Agricultural Systems Supported by Near-Term Climate and Yield Forecasts I [Oral Session]
EFI Social
Anyone who is available to meet up after the Forecasting Session on Wednesday, we’ll have a group getting together at Tempest starting around 6:30 pm. It’s an 8 minute walk. Find directions here.
Seeking Judges for Outstanding Student Presentations
We would like to recruit judges for the student presentations in our forecasting sessions at AGU this year. We have one candidate for Outstanding Student Presentation in our poster session on Wednesday morning (B31J) and two candidates in our oral session Wednesday afternoon (B34C). If you plan to attend either of these sessions, please consider helping to mentor a young researcher with some constructive feedback.
You can sign up to judge at https://ospa.agu.org/2019/ospa/judges/ to register and agree to the honor code by selecting “Register to Judge”.Once there, sign up for the student presentations you wish to evaluate. Every judge must sign up for at least three presentations to ensure that all students are provided with feedback. Select “Find Presentations”. You can search for presentations by B31J or B34C in the lower of the two “quick search” boxes.When you arrive for Fall Meeting, confirm the time and location of the presentations you are evaluating. You can sync your judging schedule to your personal calendar to ensure you don’t accidentally miss any presentations. Go to your OSPA schedule and click ‘Add to Calendar’ on the task bar. Your judging schedule will now be added to your Google Calendar, Outlook, or iCalendar.You will need to evaluate all presentations you volunteered to judge. Students depend on your feedback to assess their presentation skills, identify the areas in which they are performing well, and areas that need improvement.Either submit scores in real time on a tablet or mobile device or take notes while you evaluate students and enter the scores later. Do not rely on your memory alone to submit complete scores at a later time. Students participate in OSPA to improve their presentation skills, so please provide them with thorough feedback. This year, comments are required in addition to the numerical scores. All reviews must be entered into the OSPA site no later than Friday, 20 December 2019, at 11:59 p.m. EDT.Finally, be constructive! OSPA presenters range in education levels from undergraduate to Ph.D. students. There are also many presenters for whom English is not their first language. Keep these things in mind when providing feedback. Judges are asked to evaluate students at their current education and language proficiency levels.