Membership

How to join:

Individuals who want to be listed as an EFI member can fill out this form where you will be asked to provide your name, photo, email, social media, and a short, 1 sentence synopsis of what you’re working on. If you have a near-term forecast project you want to have highlighted you can also create a profile for the project using the same form.

At the moment there are no formal requirements for membership, but we encourage members to be active participants in EFI working groups and discussion boards. Members should be interested in building the community of practice around near-term ecological forecasts.

Current Members

Michael Dietze
Boston University

Michael is leading the Ecological Forecasting Initiative.  He leads the Near-term Ecological Forecasting Initiative and the PEcAn Project.

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Rose Abramoff
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement

Rose is working on integrating messy ecological data into models. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastrucutre, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Peter Adler
Utah State University
Peter examines how species interactions mediate the impact of climate change on plant communities and if plant functional traits can predict population and community dynamics.
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Andrew Allyn
Gulf of Maine Research Institute

Andrew is interested in using ecological forecasting tools to understand the seasonal distribution and abundance of marine species and support decision making processes. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Support, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Carl Boettiger
UC Berkeley

Carl is interested in the theory of ecological forecasting, understanding the limits to forecasting, what makes it different in ecology, and how we can approach robust decision-making despite limited forecasting ability. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastrucutre, Education

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Jorge Brenner
The Nature Conservancy

Jorge works on the spatial dynamics of marine systems and animal movement forecast. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Christopher Brown
NOAA

Christopher interested in developing and transitioning regional scale ecological forecasting system to operations. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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Kristin Byrd
U.S. Geological Society

Kristin's interest are in forecasting dynamic wildlife habitats and potential for climate resilience in wetlands and working landscapes. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Jamie Caldwell
University of Hawaii

Jamie is interested in forecasting infectious disease transmission in wildlife and people. She currently has forecasting projects for coral disease outbreak risk in the Indo-Pacific Ocean and transmission of mosquito borne diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America. EFI Interests: Theory, Knowledge Transfer

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Cayelan Carey
Virginia Tech

Cayelan integrates high-frequency sensor data and ecosystem models to generate water quality forecasts that predict a suite of freshwater ecosystem services.

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Tina L. Chen
Bat Conservation International

Tina is interested in applying technological and forecasting tools to conservation solutions, particularly in relation to the management of bats affected by the disease, white-nose syndrome, in North America. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Theresa Crimmins
USA National Phenology Network

Theresa is the Assistant Director of the National Phenology Network. She works enthusiastically to support involvement in Nature's Notebook, the growth and use of phenology data and resources curated by the USA-NPN, and a broader appreciation of phenology among scientists and non-scientists alike. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Knowledge Transfer

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Andria Dawson
Mount Royal University

Andria uses quantitative methods and ecological data to address questions about spatio-temporal vegetation and climate change. Keywords: Bayesian, modelling, paleo-ecological, forest. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Education

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Ankur R Desai
University of Wisconsin-Madison

Ankur works on forecasting land-atmosphere fluxes to advance understanding of scaling and modeling. EFI Interests: Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education

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Morgan Ernest
University of Florida

Morgan's work focuses on forecasting future biodiversity states as a means for assessing our theoretical understanding of the drivers of biodiversity dynamics. EFI Interests: Theory, Education

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Elvira de Eyto
Marine Institute

Elvira is interested in understanding how LTER data can be used to build accurate models of future ecological conditions. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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John Foster
Boston University

John is interested in disease ecology, specifically near-term forecasting of tick-borne disease risk, which includes forecasting ticks, the pathogens they carry, and their small mammal hosts. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Andy Fox
University of Arizona
Andy studies the terrestrial carbon cycle, from leaf to global scales, and over time periods from seconds the millennium with a focus on how to improve ecological forecasts using different types of observations and data assimilation techniques.
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Gideon Gal
Kinneret Limnological Laboratory, IOLR

Gideon works on forecasting future lake water quality and ecosystem conditions. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Cyberinfrastructure

Sophie Gilbert
University of Idaho

Forecasting wildlife-human conflict to foster coexistence in shared landscapes. Sophie's EFI Interests: Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Olivier Gimenez
CNRS

Forecasting species demography and distribution in the context of global change. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods

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Sandra Hamel
Université Laval

Sandra is interested in forecasting population dynamics and species interactions in northern ecosystems for guiding adaptive management and conservation. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Güray Hatipoglu
Middle East Technical University

Güray is building a decision support system based on integrated ecosystem modeling to manage Lake Manyas and other shallow lakes. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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James Holmquist
Smithsonian Environmental Research Center

James is a wetlands ecologist focused on researching carbon cycle and sea-level rise resiliency issues at large spatial scales, as well as facilitating collaboration in the coastal carbon science and management communities. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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John Huber
University of Notre Dame

John is interested in using forecasting and Bayesian inference to understand the transmission dynamics of vector-borne diseases and inform their control. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Leah R Johnson
Virginia Tech

Leah develops statistical methods to integrate data into complex biological models, particularly applied to understanding how climate change will impact the transmission of vector-borne infections. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Matt Jones
DataONE/NCEAS

Matt's interests center around sustainable cyberinfrastructure for reproducible science, with an emphasis on supporting preservation and reuse of complex research objects and computing environments for cross-cutting synthesis, analysis, and forecasting. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Melissa Kenney
University of Maryland

Melissa's research broadly addresses how to integrate both scientific knowledge and societal values into policy decision-making under uncertainty. 

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David Klinges
University of Florida

Dave is interested in forecasting landscape-level microclimate variability, and current projects also include forecasting of carbon stocks and sequestration rates of coastal wetlands. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Christine Laney
NEON

Christine's primary professional interest is in making ecological data more accessible to a wide array of communities. She leads the development of NEON's data portal and works on ecological informatics projects. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Robert Lonsinger
South Dakota State University

Robert is interested in near-term forecasting of predator-prey dynamics and dynamic patterns of co-occurrence among competitive species. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Knowledge Transfer

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Kelly Luis
University of Massachusetts-Boston

Kelly is interested in coastal and inland water quality forecasting. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Heather Lynch
Stony Brook University

Heather works on the MAPPPD project which calculates occupancy probabilities and presents graphical output which projects how penguin populations will change in the future.

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Jackie Matthes
Wellesley College

Jackie is working on a project to forecast the impacts of invasive forest insects and pathogens. She also develops inclusive pedagogical resources for teaching foundational forecasting concepts and tools. EFI Interests: Theory, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Abraham Matta
Boston University

Abraham is working to build a hybrid elastic edge-cloud infrastructure to support repeatable ecological research. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastructure

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Tempest (Tess) McCabe
Boston University

Tess models how disturbances such as invasive grasses, management, land use & fire affect pine forest stands in the Southeastern United States. Tess wants to understand what modeling ecosystems can tell us about ecological theory, and how improving ecological theory can help make ecosystem behavior easier to predict. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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Kenton McHenry
National Center for Supercomputing Applications

Kenton's interests are in ensuring a future research cyberinfrastructure that addresses the needs of critical new frontiers such as Ecological Forecasting with robust, interoperable, sustainable, accessible tools. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Jason McLachlan
University of Notre Dame

Jason is using experiments, paleo observations, model prediction, and prior studies in a Bayesian assimilation framework strengthen predictive forecasting of salt marshes.

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Bailey Morrison
Brookhaven National Lab

Bailey is interested in information that will assist with her work on the PEcAn project's State Data Assimilation project. EFI Interests: Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Jim Olds
George Mason University

Jim is interested in looking at continental scale metagenomic data from NEON in response to nitrogen gradients. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastrucutre, Knowledge Transfer

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Maria Paniw
CREAF | Ecological and Forestry Applications Research Centre

Maria investigates how individual traits and demographic rates in both plants and animals mediate population and biodiversity responses to environmental change. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, 

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Owen Petchey
University of Zurich

Owen and his team at the University of Zurich research fundamental issues of ecological predictability mostly by experimentation with model microbial ecosystems. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education

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Will Petry
Princeton University

Will is working to predict biodiversity at the population-to-food web scales by understanding how an organism's demographic rates are affected by competition, predation, and abiotic drivers. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods

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Janet Prevey
USGS

Janet is interested in forecasting plant phenology. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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Ann Raiho
Colorado State University

Ann is interested in improving forecasts of long term forest community ecology by constraining ecosystem models with paleo-ecological data. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Emily Read
USGS
Emily is the Chief of Web Communications for the United States Geological Survey Water Resources Mission. She is responsible for the digital delivery of water data and information in accessible, discoverable, and interoperable formats.
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Nicholas R Record
Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences

Ecosystem forecasting based on citizen and civic science. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Kristina Riemer
University of Arizona

Kristina uses plant ecosystem models to predict agricultural crop yield and productivity. EFI Interests: Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Kevin Rose
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Through an academic-industry partnership, Kevin is using data from a variety of high frequency sensors and weather forecasts to generate both short and medium-term water quality forecasts. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Noam Ross
EcoHealth Alliance

Noam studies the ecology of emerging infectious diseases and is interested in forecasting spillover and transport of disease. Noam's EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Toryn Schafer
University of Missouri

Toryn is interested in the methodological needs of ecological forecasting as a statistical ecologist. EFI Interests: Methods

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Paul Selmants
U.S. Geological Survey

Paul is interested in near-term forecasting of tree mortality, wildland fire, and ecosystem carbon balance. EFI interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Debjani Sihi
Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Debjani is interested in forecasting soil organic matter decomposition and greenhouse gas emission in natural and managed systems across earth's major biomes. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure

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Eric Sokol
NEON

Eric is a Quantitative Ecologist at the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) and is interested in using metacommunity theory and long-term data to predict future trends in biodiversity. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education

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James Paxton Stodder
Pardee Center, Boston University

James works on forecasts of Carbon Tax impact using s Structured Vector Auto-Regressions. EFI Interests: Methods

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Quinn Thomas
Virginia Tech
Quinn works to predict the future of forest and freshwater ecosystems by combining observations and ecosystem models using statistical techniques.
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Jonathan Tonkin
University of Canterbury

Jonathan is working to understand population and community responses to environmental change. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Andrew Tredennick
University of Georgia

Andrew is developing a new approach to making population forecasts at the landscape scale using remotely-sensed time series of plant abundance.

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Volodymyr Trotsiuk
ETH Zurich

Volodymyr is working on establishing a data assimilation system to link various datasets with different spatial and temporal resolutions into a format that allows for quality cross-checks and makes best use of available data at the Swiss scale. EFI Interests: Methods, Cyberinfrastructure, Education

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Pattama Ulrich
The Ohio State University

Pattama is developing an intervention and probabilistic modeling tool for the ecology and health community for the purpose of analyzing potential environmental risks and determining optimum risk reduction and cost-effective interventions. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Giorgio Vacchiano
Università di Milano, DISAA

Giorgio's research focuses on forest response to management under climate change and natural disturbances. EFI Interests: Decision Science, Methods, Knowledge Transfer

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German Vargas-Gutierrez
University of Minnesota

German is highly interested in the use of ecological forecasts to predict tropical forests dynamics in response to disturbances (drought, wildfire, hurricanes, etc.). EFI Interests: Methods, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Harry Watkins
University of Sheffield

Harry's research is in functional biogeography and I am interested in building knowledge transfer partnerships, particularly using BIM technology. EFI Interests: Cyberinfrastructure, Knowledge Transfer

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Jake Weltzin
NPN; USGS

Jake is the Executive Director of the USA National Phenology Network which manages phenology data from various sources and predicts when species will undergo a phenological transition at particular locations.

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Kathryn Wheeler
Boston University

Kathryn is interested in vegetative phenology forecasting and cyberinfrastructure. EFI Interests: Theory, Cyberinfrastrucutre, Education

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Ethan White
University of Florida

Ethan's forecasting projects include automated-iterative forecasting for the Portal Project, automated phenology forecasting, and research on forecasting biodiversity.

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Stephen Wood
The Nature Conservancy, Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies

Stephen is interested in soil science, particularly soil carbon, and the possibility of forecasting changes in soil carbon stocks and its impact on natural and managed ecosystems. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Education, Knowledge Transfer

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Casey Youngflesh
University of Connecticut

Casey is interested in understanding how population-level processes, particularly phenology and population dynamics, are responding to global environmental change. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure

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Elise Zipkin
Michigan State University

Elise works on estimating population distributions and demographics and how those processes might be altered with changing environmental and climate conditions. EFI Interests: Theory, Methods, and Education

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Kai Zhu
University of California, Santa Cruz

Kai is interested in plant and soil responses to environmental change, both spatially and temporally. EFI Interests: Theory, Decision Science, Methods, Cyberinfrastructure

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John Zobitz
Augsburg University

John is focused on (1) developing accessible software protocols and tools for data visualization - prior and post an ecological forecast, (2) applying mathematical and statistical methods for data assimilation and ecological forecasts, and (3) developing the first two with a keen eye for undergraduate interdisciplinary education, primarily focused through the lens of undergraduate mathematics. EFI Interests: Methods, Education

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