Introduction

Nominations Open for EFI Steering Committee! ElectionsIt is time to prepare for elections for the EFI Steering Committee!

You can nominate yourself or other EFI members for election by emailing info@ecoforecast.org before February 26, 2025.


The EFI community will elect 2 Members for the Steering Committee. EFI members will receive ballots to vote by March 15, 2025.

The Steering Committee is tasked with developing and facilitating a long term vision and plan to advance the broader ecological forecasting community. The Steering Committee facilitates the EFI Strategic Plan and makes high-level decisions to support activities that will build our community of practice.

Find details about the Steering Committee HERE.
Ecological Forecasting Initiative 2025 Conference, May 19-22, 2025Submissions for Abstracts, Workshops, and Working Group activities, Travel scholarship applications, and requests for visa support letters are now closed.

Registration will open on February 14, 2025. Early bird registration will close March 14 and full registration will close April 14.

Individuals are invited from academia, government agencies, industry and the non-profit sectors to come together in person at Virginia Tech in Blacksburg, Virginia to share cutting-edge research and applications in ecological forecasting broadly. There will be four days with keynote addresses, short research presentations and panel discussions, a poster session, working group activities, training workshops, open time for networking, and a field trip into the mountains.

Conference details and links for submissions and applications are available at https://bit.ly/efi2025
2 Upcoming Seminars! Intro to Ecological Forecasting & Beetles Forecasting TutorialThe EFI Student & Early Career Association (EFISECA) is hosting two seminars at 1pm PST/4pm EST

Tues 2/25 - Virtual grad student flash talks - hear about ecological forecasting research from EFISECA members.
Register at: https://bit.ly/41mzyXe

Tues 3/4 - Hands on forecasting workshop - step by step guide on how to forecast beetle abundance using NEON data.
Register at: https://bit.ly/4b66Qx0

Please share with your undergraduate students or anyone who might be interested in learning more about ecological forecasting research!

We are in the fourth round of the Statistical Methods Webinar series co-hosted by EFI and the ESA Statistical Ecology Section!

The March 3, 2025 call at noon US ET will be by Sara Beery and Timm Haucke (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) on "Ecological Modeling with AI and Python."
Register to join the call at https://bit.ly/4dbtALA.

Computer vision and biodiversity monitoring is an emerging field that combines artificial intelligence with ecological research to improve the accuracy and efficiency of wildlife tracking. This seminar will demonstrate a Python workflow to use AI models to automatically process large image datasets, test the accuracy of those models, and perform downstream ecological modeling.

Recordings and resources from all the webinars are available on the Statistical Methods Seminar webpage .

Each seminar is 1.5 hour in length and is led by an invited speaker with expertise on a given topic or statistical method. Speakers spend the first part of the webinar presenting a project where they used the method, followed by sharing R or Python code or related packages used for the statistical method. Presenters walk through the code, taking time to describe common pitfalls or stumbling blocks for performing the method and visualizing results.
New EFI paper and Press Release!
See the press release at: https://ecoforecast.org/ncc2024/ for the new EFI paper, “Near-term Ecological Forecasting for Climate Change Action” in the journal Nature Climate Change.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02182-0


Ecological forecasts can be used to predict changes in ecosystems and subsequent impacts on communities. There is a need for forecasts in shorter-term decision-making time periods of weeks and months which calls for greater investments in building the capacity to improve the field and for world nations, major corporations, and NGOs to integrate ecological forecasting into their climate adaptation and mitigation strategies.
AGU Special Collection Call for PapersThis special collection focuses on the emerging field of ecological forecasting, which involves predicting the future states of ecosystems. The issue welcomes contributions that use novel methodologies, interdisciplinary approaches, real-time data integration, and multi-forecast synthesis to enhance the accuracy, uncertainty representation, applicability, and equality of ecological forecasts.

Accepted submissions to the following journals will be included in the special collection.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences; Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation; Water Resources Research; Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

Submission deadline: October 31, 2026
European EFI Chapter Monthly SeminarsThe European EFI Chapter (EEFI) monthly seminars series is scheduled from now to May 2025 and is available on the EEFI Seminars webpage!

The recording from the February 2025 seminar by Viktoriia Radchuk (Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research) on "Quantifying resilience of populations and unravelling mechanisms behind it" is now available at: https://youtu.be/-Kij7IBvfyo.

The next call will be on 12th March by Iris Oberklammer (BOKU - University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences). Iris' title and abstract are forthcoming. Add the seminar to your calendar with this Google calendar link.

Find other recordings and details on the EEFI Seminars webpage.
Oceania EFI Chapter Monthly SeminarsThe Oceania EFI Chapter (OEFI) wrapped up their seminars for 2024!

Recordings from the calls are available at https://ecoforecast.org/oceania-ecological-forecasting-initiative/
2024 Social Science and Ecoforecasting Planning AwardCongratulations to the five teams that were awarded the Social Science and Ecoforecasting Planning Award!

The Review Committee was thrilled to see the interest in this inaugural round of the award and the diversity of quality project topics submitted and social science backgrounds represented. Find information about the project leads, group members, and project descriptions HERE.
Forecasting ChallengesThere are now three Forecasting Challenges available for anyone to participate and submit forecasts to.

1) EFI NEON Ecological Forecast Challenge. Target data for: aquatic ecosystems, terrestrial carbon and water fluxes, tick populations, beetle communities, and phenology.

2) EFI-USGS River Chlorophyll Forecasting Challenge. Target data for: river chlorophyll a

3) Virginia Ecoforecast Reservoir Analysis (VERA) Forecasting Challenge. Target data for: 3 physical variables, 5 chemical variables, 2 biological variables and a range of additional variables that can be used for forecasting but that are not part of the focal variables evaluated with the VERA Challenge
The EFI-NEON Research Coordination Network is an NSF-funded grant to create a community of practice that builds capacity for ecological forecasting by leveraging NEON data products.

Forecast challenges can be used for classroom instruction or the cyberinfrastructure is now set up to support stand-alone Forecasting Challenges that allow people to submit forecasts that are checked for alignment with the metadata standards, scored, cataloged, and visualized on a dashboard for non-NEON data streams.

Email info@ecoforecast.org if you want more information about using the Forecasting Challenges in your classroom or you want to set up a stand-alone Challenge.

About: Mission Statement, Shared Values & Principles, Member Profiles and Forecasting Projects
Working Groups Organized Around Seven Cross-Cutting Themes: Theory; Statistical Methods & Tools; Cyberinfrastructure; Education; Diversity, Equity & Inclusion; Translation and Actionable Science; Standards for Forecast Output and Metadata
Resources: Publications, Educational and Multimedia Resources, Videos
Stay Connected: Our Listserv shares high-level announcements, our Blog highlights forecasting activities going on, you can follow us on Twitter @ecoforecast, or you can request to join our community of forecasters on Slack (send request to eco4cast.initiative@gmail.com)